Tropical Depression Rosa Headed to Southwest; 11 Million People Under Flash Flood Watch

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Data pix.

Deserts aren't supposed to get much rain, but Tropical Depression Rosa is flipping the script.

Rosa is spreading its heavy rainfall over land Tuesday across Mexico's Baja peninsula and into the United States, with more than 11 million people under a flash flood watch in the Southwest, CNN meteorologist Michael Guy said.

Track Tropical Depression Rosa

It'll drench Baja California with 3 to 6 inches of rain, with some spots getting up to 10 inches, the National Hurricane Center said.

Rosa's edges are dropping light rain early Tuesday morning in the Phoenix area, and "brief pockets of heavy rain" are expected there eventually, the National Weather Service said.

Rosa, which was downgraded early Tuesday from a tropical storm, already has pounded the Northern Baja and Southern California desert regions, and the Mexican state of Sonora just south of the Arizona border.

Around 5 a.m. ET Tuesday, Rosa had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 kmh) and was about 105 miles (170 kilometers) North of Punta Eugenia, Mexico.

Deadly flash floods and landslides possible

As it moves northeast, the storm will dump 2 to 4 inches of rain on much of Arizona, with up to 6 inches in the mountains. Flash flood watches are in effect for parts of Arizona, far southern California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado and far southern Idaho, with the storm's remnants moving inland, the National Weather Service said.

"These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding," the hurricane center said. "Dangerous debris flows and landslides are also possible in mountainous terrain."

Historically, it's unusual for the US Southwest to get pummeled by a hurricane or tropical storm. But "these events have begun to increase in recent years," CNN meteorologist Gene Norman said.

Research indicates global warming contributes to tropical storms getting "more intense, bigger and longer-lasting, thereby increasing their potential for damage," said Kevin Trenberth, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

While there might not be a direct link between global warming and the recent increase of severe storms in the US Southwest, "it is possible that this could be a side effect of climate change," Norman said.

"Warmer oceans are allowing eastern Pacific storms to reach higher latitudes," he said. "This was not the case earlier. It was quite rare for an eastern Pacific storm to even reach Baja California, and this is now becoming more common."

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